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The Fall Of Your Home Of Typhoon

The Fall Of Your Home Of Typhoon

Pity Larry Coker.

At this moment, there’s truly absolutely nothing he can do. Miami (FL) runs out the top-25 for the very first time in a bazillion years (all right, given that 1999). The ‘Canes lost a dull house video game versus a not-very-good Florida State group, then went on the roadway 2 weeks back and got their asses flossed by a great Louisville group that was nonetheless missing its beginning QB and star RB, 51-10. Miami might go unbeaten for the remainder of the season (p.s.: they will not), and Coker’s task would still remain in danger.

( Side note: I enjoy how every college football expert being in the studio starts his conversation of a beleaguered college coach by speaking about how all the “Web chatroom” are requiring so-and-so’s ouster. From somebody who’s quite ‘Net savvy, let me simply state that if any college administrator anywhere has actually ever listened to anything anybody has actually ever stated in an “Web chatroom” (I presume these knuckleheads indicate “Web message board,” however let’s leave that a person alone), she or he need to instantly be required to resign his post, or accept Bob Knight as his/her head basketball coach, whichever one she or he selects.)

Yes, the ACC is down. The ‘Canes and ‘Noles are significantly underpowered offensively. Virginia Tech hasn’t played anybody who can exploit their various defections and/or suspensions. Boston College and Wake Forest are mirages. Georgia Tech has to do with as constant as Dave Chappelle. Heck, you might make the argument that there are as lots of as 3 Big East groups who would go unbeaten in ACC play. And yet Miami will continue to be misestimated at the wagering window.

Up until now in ’06, the Hurricanes have actually struggled offensively as at no time in their current history. They rank 52nd in passing offense and 61st in hurrying offense. Their offending line lost all however one starter from last season. Their beginning rush, Charlie Jones, is balancing 41.3 lawns per video game, and 3.9 lawns per bring, and has actually been benched today in favor of freshman Javarris James (Edgerrin’s very first cousin). In general, in their 2 video games versus Department I challengers (marking down the 51-10 win over Florida A&M), the offense has actually represented 17 points and 476 overall lawns integrated. The ‘Canes rush defense is still as strong as ever: the group is 8th in the country in rush lawns permitted per video game, at simply 59.3 (which figures to a 2.3 lawns per bring); nevertheless, one factor the hurrying numbers are so great is that the pass defense is so bad: without Brian Brohm for the majority of the Louisville video game, the Cardinals nonetheless acquired 294 passing lawns prior to aborting the pet dogs late.

Into this breach (and the Orange Bowl) comes the University of Houston, with their sixth-rated death offense (312 lawns per video game). Senior QB David Kolb is 3rd in the country in passing, and has an absurd QB score of 171.7. The Cougars are likewise balancing 175 lawns per video game on the ground, which exercises to 5 lawns a bring. Given, this is a magnificent huge action up in competitors for Houston, who bring a 4-0 record into the Miami Saturday night: they have actually beaten Rice, Tulane, Grambling and Oklahoma State. Still, the OSU win was the very first for Houston versus a Huge 12 school given that 1988, and while the Cowboys ran fairly wild on the Cougars (165 lawns hurrying), Kolb kept control of the ball enough to sign up an unexpected 34-25 win (as a 2.5-point underdog).

Contribute to these data the reality that Miami is regularly among the most misestimated groups in the country by wagerers. They’re 8-20 versus the spread in their last 28 house video games. They’re likewise 5-16 ATS in their last 21 house video games in which they have actually been preferred by 10.5 points or more, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 video games in general, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 getting in as a preferred, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference video games, 0-3 ATS in their last 3 night video games, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus Conference U.S.A. groups. The name is drawing the cash, not the football. Houston, to the contrary, is 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 non-conference video games (though they are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 roadies). Do I believe Houston’s going to take Miami behind the woodshed, Louisville-style? No. The professional athletes who dip into the U. are just of a much better quality, and Miami ought to ultimately use down Houston. I believe this is going to be a really high-scoring video game, and I believe that Houston’s going to be in it much longer than lots of appear to think. While I’m unsure if Houston can stop Miami QB Kyle Wright or WR Darnell Jenkins, the Cougars will assault through the air too, which’s precisely where Miami is susceptible. Miami will win the video game, however I think it will be close, so I’m taking Houston (+17) at Miami. Poor Larry.

Recently: A simple cover, as Wake Forest, a three-point underdog, controlled at Mississippi, and won the video game outright, 27-3. After a quite blasé back-door cover 2 weeks back, this one produced a great, simple Saturday. For the year, then, I’m at 3-1 versus the spread.

The Fall Of Your Home Of Typhoon